Fidelity Total Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.58
| FEPTX Fund | USD 9.58 0.02 0.21% |
FIDELITY |
Fidelity Total Target Price Odds to finish over 9.58
The tendency of FIDELITY Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.58 | 90 days | 9.58 | about 60.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fidelity Total to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.75 (This Fidelity Total Bond probability density function shows the probability of FIDELITY Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Fidelity Total Bond has a beta of -0.0845. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fidelity Total are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fidelity Total Bond is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fidelity Total Bond has an alpha of 8.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 8.14E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Fidelity Total Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity Total
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Total Bond. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Total's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fidelity Total Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fidelity Total is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fidelity Total's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fidelity Total Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fidelity Total within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0008 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Fidelity Total Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fidelity Total for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fidelity Total Bond can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Fidelity Total Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Fidelity Total Bond retains about 14.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Fidelity Total Technical Analysis
Fidelity Total's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FIDELITY Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fidelity Total Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing FIDELITY Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Fidelity Total Predictive Forecast Models
Fidelity Total's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fidelity Total's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fidelity Total's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Fidelity Total Bond
Checking the ongoing alerts about Fidelity Total for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fidelity Total Bond help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Fidelity Total Bond generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Fidelity Total Bond retains about 14.94% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in FIDELITY Mutual Fund
Fidelity Total financial ratios help investors to determine whether FIDELITY Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FIDELITY with respect to the benefits of owning Fidelity Total security.
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