First Financial Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.15

FFBC Stock  USD 27.51  0.11  0.40%   
First Financial's future price is the expected price of First Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Financial Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Financial Backtesting, First Financial Valuation, First Financial Correlation, First Financial Hype Analysis, First Financial Volatility, First Financial History as well as First Financial Performance.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
  
At present, First Financial's Price Earnings Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Book Value Ratio is expected to grow to 1.91, whereas Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.35. Please specify First Financial's target price for which you would like First Financial odds to be computed.

First Financial Target Price Odds to finish below 21.15

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 21.15  or more in 90 days
 27.51 90 days 21.15 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Financial to drop to $ 21.15  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This First Financial Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Financial Bancorp price to stay between $ 21.15  and its current price of $27.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.64 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Financial has a beta of 0.0157. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Financial Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Financial Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1707, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Financial Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1516.6518.7520.6822.4324.3626.4628.2230.1432.0734.0Current PriceTargetFirst Financial Mean 0.050.100.150.20
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Financial Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7927.4230.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6025.2327.86
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
21.1623.2525.81
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.590.650.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Financial Bancorp.

First Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Financial Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

First Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Financial Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of December 2024 First Financial paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1250 shares by Archie Brown of First Financial subject to Rule 16b-3

First Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments191.5 M

First Financial Technical Analysis

First Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Financial Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Financial Predictive Forecast Models

First Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Financial Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Financial Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 16th of December 2024 First Financial paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1250 shares by Archie Brown of First Financial subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether First Financial Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Financial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Financial Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Financial Bancorp Stock:
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Financial. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Dividend Share
0.93
Earnings Share
2.32
Revenue Per Share
8.096
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of First Financial Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
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