First Tellurium Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0987

FSTTF Stock  USD 0.1  0  4.89%   
First Tellurium's future price is the expected price of First Tellurium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of First Tellurium Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out First Tellurium Backtesting, First Tellurium Valuation, First Tellurium Correlation, First Tellurium Hype Analysis, First Tellurium Volatility, First Tellurium History as well as First Tellurium Performance.
  
Please specify First Tellurium's target price for which you would like First Tellurium odds to be computed.

First Tellurium Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0987

The tendency of First OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.1 90 days 0.1 
about 32.2
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Tellurium to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.2 (This First Tellurium Corp probability density function shows the probability of First OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First Tellurium Corp has a beta of -1.56. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding First Tellurium Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, First Tellurium is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover First Tellurium Corp has an alpha of 1.004, implying that it can generate a 1.0 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Tellurium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Tellurium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Tellurium Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Tellurium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.105.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.085.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.095.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.090.10.10
Details

First Tellurium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Tellurium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Tellurium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Tellurium Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Tellurium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.00
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.56
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

First Tellurium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Tellurium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Tellurium Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Tellurium Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
First Tellurium Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Tellurium Corp has accumulated about 1.11 M in cash with (2.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

First Tellurium Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Tellurium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Tellurium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding69.2 M

First Tellurium Technical Analysis

First Tellurium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Tellurium Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing First OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

First Tellurium Predictive Forecast Models

First Tellurium's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Tellurium's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Tellurium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about First Tellurium Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Tellurium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Tellurium Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Tellurium Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
First Tellurium Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Tellurium Corp has accumulated about 1.11 M in cash with (2.19 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in First OTC Stock

First Tellurium financial ratios help investors to determine whether First OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Tellurium security.