Frontier Communications Parent Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 34.47

FYBR Stock  USD 34.49  0.02  0.06%   
Frontier Communications' future price is the expected price of Frontier Communications instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Frontier Communications Parent performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Frontier Communications Backtesting, Frontier Communications Valuation, Frontier Communications Correlation, Frontier Communications Hype Analysis, Frontier Communications Volatility, Frontier Communications History as well as Frontier Communications Performance.
  
At this time, Frontier Communications' Price Fair Value is relatively stable compared to the past year. Please specify Frontier Communications' target price for which you would like Frontier Communications odds to be computed.

Frontier Communications Target Price Odds to finish below 34.47

The tendency of Frontier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 34.47  or more in 90 days
 34.49 90 days 34.47 
about 29.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Frontier Communications to drop to $ 34.47  or more in 90 days from now is about 29.7 (This Frontier Communications Parent probability density function shows the probability of Frontier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Frontier Communications price to stay between $ 34.47  and its current price of $34.49 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Frontier Communications has a beta of 0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Frontier Communications average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Frontier Communications Parent will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Frontier Communications Parent has an alpha of 0.3286, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Frontier Communications Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Frontier Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.7334.4735.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8533.5937.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.3035.0435.78
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.3932.3035.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Frontier Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Frontier Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Frontier Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Frontier Communications.

Frontier Communications Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Frontier Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Frontier Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Frontier Communications Parent, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Frontier Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
1.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Frontier Communications Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Frontier Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Frontier Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frontier Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Frontier Communications has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Johnson Fistel Investigates the Proposed Merger of Frontier Communications Is 38.50 a Fair Price

Frontier Communications Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Frontier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Frontier Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontier Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding248.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.2 B

Frontier Communications Technical Analysis

Frontier Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Frontier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Frontier Communications Parent. In general, you should focus on analyzing Frontier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Frontier Communications Predictive Forecast Models

Frontier Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Frontier Communications' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Frontier Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Frontier Communications

Checking the ongoing alerts about Frontier Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Frontier Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Frontier Communications generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Frontier Communications has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Johnson Fistel Investigates the Proposed Merger of Frontier Communications Is 38.50 a Fair Price

Additional Tools for Frontier Stock Analysis

When running Frontier Communications' price analysis, check to measure Frontier Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Frontier Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Frontier Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Frontier Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Frontier Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Frontier Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.