GOING PUBL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.78

G6P Stock  EUR 4.15  0.00  0.00%   
GOING PUBL's future price is the expected price of GOING PUBL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GOING PUBL MEDIA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GOING PUBL Backtesting, GOING PUBL Valuation, GOING PUBL Correlation, GOING PUBL Hype Analysis, GOING PUBL Volatility, GOING PUBL History as well as GOING PUBL Performance.
  
Please specify GOING PUBL's target price for which you would like GOING PUBL odds to be computed.

GOING PUBL Target Price Odds to finish over 6.78

The tendency of GOING Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 6.78  or more in 90 days
 4.15 90 days 6.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GOING PUBL to move over € 6.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GOING PUBL MEDIA probability density function shows the probability of GOING Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GOING PUBL MEDIA price to stay between its current price of € 4.15  and € 6.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GOING PUBL MEDIA has a beta of -0.0432. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GOING PUBL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GOING PUBL MEDIA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GOING PUBL MEDIA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   GOING PUBL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GOING PUBL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GOING PUBL MEDIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.254.155.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.434.335.23
Details

GOING PUBL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GOING PUBL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GOING PUBL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GOING PUBL MEDIA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GOING PUBL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

GOING PUBL Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GOING PUBL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GOING PUBL MEDIA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GOING PUBL MEDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

GOING PUBL Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GOING Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GOING PUBL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GOING PUBL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0885

GOING PUBL Technical Analysis

GOING PUBL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GOING Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GOING PUBL MEDIA. In general, you should focus on analyzing GOING Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GOING PUBL Predictive Forecast Models

GOING PUBL's time-series forecasting models is one of many GOING PUBL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GOING PUBL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GOING PUBL MEDIA

Checking the ongoing alerts about GOING PUBL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GOING PUBL MEDIA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GOING PUBL MEDIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for GOING Stock Analysis

When running GOING PUBL's price analysis, check to measure GOING PUBL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GOING PUBL is operating at the current time. Most of GOING PUBL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GOING PUBL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GOING PUBL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GOING PUBL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.