Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 10.40

GCPEF Stock  USD 0.18  0.01  5.88%   
GCL Poly's future price is the expected price of GCL Poly instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GCL Poly Energy Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out GCL Poly Backtesting, GCL Poly Valuation, GCL Poly Correlation, GCL Poly Hype Analysis, GCL Poly Volatility, GCL Poly History as well as GCL Poly Performance.
  
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GCL Poly Target Price Odds to finish over 10.40

The tendency of GCL Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 10.40  or more in 90 days
 0.18 90 days 10.40 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GCL Poly to move over $ 10.40  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This GCL Poly Energy Holdings probability density function shows the probability of GCL Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GCL Poly Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.18  and $ 10.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon GCL Poly Energy Holdings has a beta of -0.61. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GCL Poly are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GCL Poly Energy Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Moreover GCL Poly Energy Holdings has an alpha of 1.0425, implying that it can generate a 1.04 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GCL Poly Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GCL Poly

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GCL Poly Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GCL Poly's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1810.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1410.34
Details

GCL Poly Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GCL Poly is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GCL Poly's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GCL Poly Energy Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GCL Poly within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

GCL Poly Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GCL Poly for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GCL Poly Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GCL Poly Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GCL Poly Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GCL Poly Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GCL Poly Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GCL Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GCL Poly's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GCL Poly's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.1 B

GCL Poly Technical Analysis

GCL Poly's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GCL Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GCL Poly Energy Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing GCL Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GCL Poly Predictive Forecast Models

GCL Poly's time-series forecasting models is one of many GCL Poly's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GCL Poly's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about GCL Poly Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about GCL Poly for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GCL Poly Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GCL Poly Energy is way too risky over 90 days horizon
GCL Poly Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
GCL Poly Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in GCL Pink Sheet

GCL Poly financial ratios help investors to determine whether GCL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GCL with respect to the benefits of owning GCL Poly security.