General Dynamics (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,750

GDBR34 Stock  BRL 1,643  5.80  0.35%   
General Dynamics' future price is the expected price of General Dynamics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of General Dynamics performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out General Dynamics Backtesting, General Dynamics Valuation, General Dynamics Correlation, General Dynamics Hype Analysis, General Dynamics Volatility, General Dynamics History as well as General Dynamics Performance.
For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
  
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General Dynamics Target Price Odds to finish below 1,750

The tendency of General Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 1,643 90 days 1,643 
about 25.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of General Dynamics to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 25.13 (This General Dynamics probability density function shows the probability of General Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon General Dynamics has a beta of 0.0103. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, General Dynamics average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding General Dynamics will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally General Dynamics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   General Dynamics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for General Dynamics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as General Dynamics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,6411,6431,644
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,5561,5571,807
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as General Dynamics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against General Dynamics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, General Dynamics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in General Dynamics.

General Dynamics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. General Dynamics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the General Dynamics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold General Dynamics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of General Dynamics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
56.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

General Dynamics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of General Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential General Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. General Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding274.4 M

General Dynamics Technical Analysis

General Dynamics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. General Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of General Dynamics. In general, you should focus on analyzing General Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

General Dynamics Predictive Forecast Models

General Dynamics' time-series forecasting models is one of many General Dynamics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary General Dynamics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards General Dynamics in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, General Dynamics' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from General Dynamics options trading.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in General Stock

When determining whether General Dynamics is a strong investment it is important to analyze General Dynamics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact General Dynamics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding General Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out General Dynamics Backtesting, General Dynamics Valuation, General Dynamics Correlation, General Dynamics Hype Analysis, General Dynamics Volatility, General Dynamics History as well as General Dynamics Performance.
For information on how to trade General Stock refer to our How to Trade General Stock guide.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between General Dynamics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if General Dynamics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, General Dynamics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.