GUINNESS GHANA (Ghana) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.70
| GGBL Stock | 4.70 0.00 0.00% |
GUINNESS |
GUINNESS GHANA Target Price Odds to finish over 4.70
The tendency of GUINNESS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.70 | 90 days | 4.70 | about 73.77 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GUINNESS GHANA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.77 (This GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES probability density function shows the probability of GUINNESS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES has a beta of -0.0486. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GUINNESS GHANA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GUINNESS GHANA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GUINNESS GHANA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GUINNESS GHANA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GUINNESS GHANA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GUINNESS GHANA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GUINNESS GHANA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
GUINNESS GHANA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GUINNESS GHANA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GUINNESS GHANA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
GUINNESS GHANA Technical Analysis
GUINNESS GHANA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GUINNESS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES. In general, you should focus on analyzing GUINNESS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GUINNESS GHANA Predictive Forecast Models
GUINNESS GHANA's time-series forecasting models is one of many GUINNESS GHANA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GUINNESS GHANA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES
Checking the ongoing alerts about GUINNESS GHANA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GUINNESS GHANA BREWERIES help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GUINNESS GHANA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for GUINNESS Stock Analysis
When running GUINNESS GHANA's price analysis, check to measure GUINNESS GHANA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GUINNESS GHANA is operating at the current time. Most of GUINNESS GHANA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GUINNESS GHANA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GUINNESS GHANA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GUINNESS GHANA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.