Galapagos (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.30
| GLPG Stock | EUR 25.50 0.20 0.78% |
Galapagos |
Galapagos Target Price Odds to finish below 30.30
The tendency of Galapagos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 30.30 after 90 days |
| 25.50 | 90 days | 30.30 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galapagos to stay under € 30.30 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Galapagos NV probability density function shows the probability of Galapagos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galapagos NV price to stay between its current price of € 25.50 and € 30.30 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.5 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Galapagos has a beta of 0.88. This usually indicates Galapagos NV market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Galapagos is expected to follow. Additionally Galapagos NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Galapagos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Galapagos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galapagos NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Galapagos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galapagos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galapagos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galapagos NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galapagos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Galapagos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galapagos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galapagos NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Galapagos NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 484.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.49 M). | |
| Galapagos NV has accumulated about 5.01 B in cash with (503.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Galapagos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galapagos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galapagos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galapagos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.6 M |
Galapagos Technical Analysis
Galapagos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galapagos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galapagos NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galapagos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galapagos Predictive Forecast Models
Galapagos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Galapagos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galapagos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galapagos NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galapagos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galapagos NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Galapagos NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 484.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (103.23 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (8.49 M). | |
| Galapagos NV has accumulated about 5.01 B in cash with (503.83 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 76.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Galapagos Stock Analysis
When running Galapagos' price analysis, check to measure Galapagos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galapagos is operating at the current time. Most of Galapagos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galapagos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galapagos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galapagos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.