GMA Network (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.38
| GMA7 Stock | 6.54 0.05 0.76% |
GMA |
GMA Network Target Price Odds to finish below 4.38
The tendency of GMA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 4.38 or more in 90 days |
| 6.54 | 90 days | 4.38 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GMA Network to drop to 4.38 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GMA Network probability density function shows the probability of GMA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GMA Network price to stay between 4.38 and its current price of 6.54 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GMA Network has a beta of -0.26. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GMA Network are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GMA Network is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GMA Network has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. GMA Network Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GMA Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GMA Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GMA Network Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GMA Network is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GMA Network's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GMA Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GMA Network within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
GMA Network Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GMA Network for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GMA Network can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GMA Network generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
GMA Network Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GMA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GMA Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GMA Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 B |
GMA Network Technical Analysis
GMA Network's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GMA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GMA Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing GMA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GMA Network Predictive Forecast Models
GMA Network's time-series forecasting models is one of many GMA Network's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GMA Network's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GMA Network
Checking the ongoing alerts about GMA Network for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GMA Network help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GMA Network generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for GMA Stock Analysis
When running GMA Network's price analysis, check to measure GMA Network's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GMA Network is operating at the current time. Most of GMA Network's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GMA Network's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GMA Network's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GMA Network to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.