Ganfeng Lithium Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2.04

GNENF Stock  USD 2.65  0.12  4.74%   
Ganfeng Lithium's future price is the expected price of Ganfeng Lithium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ganfeng Lithium Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ganfeng Lithium Backtesting, Ganfeng Lithium Valuation, Ganfeng Lithium Correlation, Ganfeng Lithium Hype Analysis, Ganfeng Lithium Volatility, Ganfeng Lithium History as well as Ganfeng Lithium Performance.
  
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Ganfeng Lithium Target Price Odds to finish below 2.04

The tendency of Ganfeng Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2.04  or more in 90 days
 2.65 90 days 2.04 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ganfeng Lithium to drop to $ 2.04  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ganfeng Lithium Co probability density function shows the probability of Ganfeng Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ganfeng Lithium price to stay between $ 2.04  and its current price of $2.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ganfeng Lithium has a beta of 0.0352. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Ganfeng Lithium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ganfeng Lithium Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ganfeng Lithium Co has an alpha of 0.4759, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ganfeng Lithium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ganfeng Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ganfeng Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.538.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.348.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.628.91
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.522.963.41
Details

Ganfeng Lithium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ganfeng Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ganfeng Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ganfeng Lithium Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ganfeng Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.48
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Ganfeng Lithium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ganfeng Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ganfeng Lithium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ganfeng Lithium had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Ganfeng Lithium Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ganfeng Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ganfeng Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ganfeng Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Ganfeng Lithium Technical Analysis

Ganfeng Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ganfeng Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ganfeng Lithium Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ganfeng Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ganfeng Lithium Predictive Forecast Models

Ganfeng Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ganfeng Lithium's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ganfeng Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ganfeng Lithium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ganfeng Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ganfeng Lithium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ganfeng Lithium had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Ganfeng Pink Sheet

Ganfeng Lithium financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ganfeng Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ganfeng with respect to the benefits of owning Ganfeng Lithium security.