Galata Wind (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.31
| GWIND Stock | TRY 29.70 1.02 3.32% |
Galata |
Galata Wind Target Price Odds to finish below 17.31
The tendency of Galata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.31 or more in 90 days |
| 29.70 | 90 days | 17.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Galata Wind to drop to 17.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Galata Wind Enerji probability density function shows the probability of Galata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Galata Wind Enerji price to stay between 17.31 and its current price of 29.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Galata Wind Enerji has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Galata Wind are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Galata Wind Enerji is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Galata Wind Enerji has an alpha of 0.1649, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Galata Wind Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Galata Wind
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Galata Wind Enerji. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galata Wind's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Galata Wind Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Galata Wind is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Galata Wind's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Galata Wind Enerji, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Galata Wind within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Galata Wind Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Galata Wind for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Galata Wind Enerji can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Galata Wind Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Galata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Galata Wind's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galata Wind's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 534.8 M |
Galata Wind Technical Analysis
Galata Wind's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Galata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Galata Wind Enerji. In general, you should focus on analyzing Galata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Galata Wind Predictive Forecast Models
Galata Wind's time-series forecasting models is one of many Galata Wind's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Galata Wind's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Galata Wind Enerji
Checking the ongoing alerts about Galata Wind for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Galata Wind Enerji help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Galata Stock
Galata Wind financial ratios help investors to determine whether Galata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Galata with respect to the benefits of owning Galata Wind security.