Hai An (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43000.0

HAH Stock   49,400  500.00  1.00%   
Hai An's future price is the expected price of Hai An instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hai An Transport performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hai An Backtesting, Hai An Valuation, Hai An Correlation, Hai An Hype Analysis, Hai An Volatility, Hai An History as well as Hai An Performance.
  
Please specify Hai An's target price for which you would like Hai An odds to be computed.

Hai An Target Price Odds to finish below 43000.0

The tendency of Hai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  43,000  or more in 90 days
 49,400 90 days 43,000 
about 36.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hai An to drop to  43,000  or more in 90 days from now is about 36.4 (This Hai An Transport probability density function shows the probability of Hai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hai An Transport price to stay between  43,000  and its current price of 49400.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 57.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hai An has a beta of 0.52. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hai An average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hai An Transport will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hai An Transport has an alpha of 0.3072, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hai An Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hai An

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hai An Transport. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49,39849,40049,402
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44,46055,91755,919
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50,23050,23250,233
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
43,92647,57851,231
Details

Hai An Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hai An is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hai An's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hai An Transport, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hai An within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
3,385
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Hai An Technical Analysis

Hai An's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hai An Transport. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hai An Predictive Forecast Models

Hai An's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hai An's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hai An's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Hai An in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Hai An's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Hai An options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Hai Stock

Hai An financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hai with respect to the benefits of owning Hai An security.