Hays Plc (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.05

HAY Stock  EUR 0.95  0.01  1.04%   
Hays Plc's future price is the expected price of Hays Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hays plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hays Plc Backtesting, Hays Plc Valuation, Hays Plc Correlation, Hays Plc Hype Analysis, Hays Plc Volatility, Hays Plc History as well as Hays Plc Performance.
  
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Hays Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 0.05

The tendency of Hays Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.05  or more in 90 days
 0.95 90 days 0.05 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hays Plc to drop to € 0.05  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Hays plc probability density function shows the probability of Hays Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hays plc price to stay between € 0.05  and its current price of €0.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hays plc has a beta of -0.0992. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hays Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hays plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hays plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Hays Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hays Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hays plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.954.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.824.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.944.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.920.950.99
Details

Hays Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hays Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hays Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hays plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hays Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Hays Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hays Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hays plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hays plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hays plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Hays plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Hays Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hays Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hays Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hays Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.7 B

Hays Plc Technical Analysis

Hays Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hays Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hays plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hays Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hays Plc Predictive Forecast Models

Hays Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hays Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hays Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hays plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hays Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hays plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hays plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Hays plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Hays plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Hays Stock

Hays Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hays Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hays with respect to the benefits of owning Hays Plc security.