Homeco Daily (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.14
| HDN Stock | 1.18 0.01 0.85% |
Homeco |
Homeco Daily Target Price Odds to finish over 4.14
The tendency of Homeco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 4.14 or more in 90 days |
| 1.18 | 90 days | 4.14 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Homeco Daily to move over 4.14 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Homeco Daily Needs probability density function shows the probability of Homeco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Homeco Daily Needs price to stay between its current price of 1.18 and 4.14 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Homeco Daily has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Homeco Daily average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Homeco Daily Needs will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Homeco Daily Needs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Homeco Daily Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Homeco Daily
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Homeco Daily Needs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Homeco Daily Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Homeco Daily is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Homeco Daily's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Homeco Daily Needs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Homeco Daily within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Homeco Daily Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Homeco Daily for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Homeco Daily Needs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Homeco Daily Needs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Homeco Daily Needs may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Homeco Daily Needs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Homeco Daily Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Homeco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Homeco Daily's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Homeco Daily's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.4 M |
Homeco Daily Technical Analysis
Homeco Daily's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Homeco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Homeco Daily Needs. In general, you should focus on analyzing Homeco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Homeco Daily Predictive Forecast Models
Homeco Daily's time-series forecasting models is one of many Homeco Daily's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Homeco Daily's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Homeco Daily Needs
Checking the ongoing alerts about Homeco Daily for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Homeco Daily Needs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Homeco Daily Needs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Homeco Daily Needs may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Homeco Daily Needs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Homeco Stock Analysis
When running Homeco Daily's price analysis, check to measure Homeco Daily's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Homeco Daily is operating at the current time. Most of Homeco Daily's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Homeco Daily's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Homeco Daily's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Homeco Daily to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.