High Coast (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 44.39

HIGHCO-B   44.00  1.00  2.22%   
High Coast's future price is the expected price of High Coast instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of High Coast Distillery performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out High Coast Backtesting, High Coast Valuation, High Coast Correlation, High Coast Hype Analysis, High Coast Volatility, High Coast History as well as High Coast Performance.
  
Please specify High Coast's target price for which you would like High Coast odds to be computed.

High Coast Target Price Odds to finish below 44.39

The tendency of High Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  44.39  after 90 days
 44.00 90 days 44.39 
about 92.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of High Coast to stay under  44.39  after 90 days from now is about 92.45 (This High Coast Distillery probability density function shows the probability of High Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of High Coast Distillery price to stay between its current price of  44.00  and  44.39  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon High Coast Distillery has a beta of -0.29. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding High Coast are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, High Coast Distillery is likely to outperform the market. Additionally High Coast Distillery has an alpha of 0.2149, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   High Coast Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for High Coast

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as High Coast Distillery. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of High Coast's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.0344.0046.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.1536.1248.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
42.8645.8348.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
42.9543.9344.90
Details

High Coast Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. High Coast is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the High Coast's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold High Coast Distillery, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of High Coast within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

High Coast Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of High Coast for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for High Coast Distillery can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

High Coast Technical Analysis

High Coast's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. High Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of High Coast Distillery. In general, you should focus on analyzing High Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

High Coast Predictive Forecast Models

High Coast's time-series forecasting models is one of many High Coast's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary High Coast's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about High Coast Distillery

Checking the ongoing alerts about High Coast for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for High Coast Distillery help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in High Stock

High Coast financial ratios help investors to determine whether High Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in High with respect to the benefits of owning High Coast security.