Hong Kong (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 40.07

HK2C Stock  EUR 36.44  0.00  0.00%   
Hong Kong's future price is the expected price of Hong Kong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Hong Kong Exchanges performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Hong Kong Backtesting, Hong Kong Valuation, Hong Kong Correlation, Hong Kong Hype Analysis, Hong Kong Volatility, Hong Kong History as well as Hong Kong Performance.
  
Please specify Hong Kong's target price for which you would like Hong Kong odds to be computed.

Hong Kong Target Price Odds to finish over 40.07

The tendency of Hong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 40.07  or more in 90 days
 36.44 90 days 40.07 
about 13.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hong Kong to move over € 40.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 13.13 (This Hong Kong Exchanges probability density function shows the probability of Hong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hong Kong Exchanges price to stay between its current price of € 36.44  and € 40.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.32 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Hong Kong has a beta of 0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hong Kong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hong Kong Exchanges will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hong Kong Exchanges has an alpha of 0.472, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hong Kong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hong Kong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hong Kong Exchanges. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hong Kong's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.7536.4440.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.6838.3742.06
Details

Hong Kong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hong Kong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hong Kong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hong Kong Exchanges, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hong Kong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
2.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Hong Kong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hong Kong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hong Kong Exchanges can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hong Kong Exchanges had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Hong Kong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hong Kong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hong Kong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Hong Kong Technical Analysis

Hong Kong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hong Kong Exchanges. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Hong Kong Predictive Forecast Models

Hong Kong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hong Kong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hong Kong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Hong Kong Exchanges

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hong Kong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hong Kong Exchanges help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Hong Kong Exchanges had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Hong Stock

Hong Kong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hong with respect to the benefits of owning Hong Kong security.