Hillcrest Energy Technologies Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0813
| HLRTF Stock | USD 0.09 0.01 11.72% |
Hillcrest |
Hillcrest Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0813
The tendency of Hillcrest OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.08 in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.08 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hillcrest Energy to stay above $ 0.08 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Hillcrest Energy Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Hillcrest OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Hillcrest Energy Tec price to stay between $ 0.08 and its current price of $0.0858 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hillcrest Energy has a beta of 0.0457. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hillcrest Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hillcrest Energy Technologies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Hillcrest Energy Technologies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Hillcrest Energy Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Hillcrest Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hillcrest Energy Tec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hillcrest Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hillcrest Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hillcrest Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hillcrest Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hillcrest Energy Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hillcrest Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.88 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Hillcrest Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hillcrest Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hillcrest Energy Tec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Hillcrest Energy Tec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hillcrest Energy Tec has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hillcrest Energy Tec has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 624.87 K. Net Loss for the year was (13.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 159.61 K. | |
| Hillcrest Energy Technologies has accumulated about 1.22 M in cash with (4.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Hillcrest Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hillcrest OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hillcrest Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hillcrest Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 319.2 M |
Hillcrest Energy Technical Analysis
Hillcrest Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hillcrest OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hillcrest Energy Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hillcrest OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hillcrest Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Hillcrest Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Hillcrest Energy's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hillcrest Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hillcrest Energy Tec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hillcrest Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hillcrest Energy Tec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Hillcrest Energy Tec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hillcrest Energy Tec has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hillcrest Energy Tec has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 624.87 K. Net Loss for the year was (13.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 159.61 K. | |
| Hillcrest Energy Technologies has accumulated about 1.22 M in cash with (4.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Hillcrest OTC Stock
Hillcrest Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hillcrest OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hillcrest with respect to the benefits of owning Hillcrest Energy security.