IBI Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.35
| IBITEC-F | 75.40 2.10 2.71% |
IBI |
IBI Mutual Target Price Odds to finish below 64.35
The tendency of IBI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 64.35 or more in 90 days |
| 75.40 | 90 days | 64.35 | about 6.99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IBI Mutual to drop to 64.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 6.99 (This IBI Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of IBI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IBI Mutual Funds price to stay between 64.35 and its current price of 75.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IBI Mutual Funds has a beta of -0.0372. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding IBI Mutual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, IBI Mutual Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally IBI Mutual Funds has an alpha of 0.3106, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). IBI Mutual Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for IBI Mutual
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IBI Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IBI Mutual's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
IBI Mutual Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IBI Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IBI Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IBI Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IBI Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
IBI Mutual Technical Analysis
IBI Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IBI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IBI Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing IBI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IBI Mutual Predictive Forecast Models
IBI Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many IBI Mutual's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IBI Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards IBI Mutual in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, IBI Mutual's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from IBI Mutual options trading.
Other Information on Investing in IBI Stock
IBI Mutual financial ratios help investors to determine whether IBI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in IBI with respect to the benefits of owning IBI Mutual security.