Infracommerce CXaaS (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.1

IFCM3 Stock  BRL 0.10  0.02  16.67%   
Infracommerce CXaaS's future price is the expected price of Infracommerce CXaaS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Infracommerce CXaaS SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Infracommerce CXaaS Backtesting, Infracommerce CXaaS Valuation, Infracommerce CXaaS Correlation, Infracommerce CXaaS Hype Analysis, Infracommerce CXaaS Volatility, Infracommerce CXaaS History as well as Infracommerce CXaaS Performance.
  
Please specify Infracommerce CXaaS's target price for which you would like Infracommerce CXaaS odds to be computed.

Infracommerce CXaaS Target Price Odds to finish below 0.1

The tendency of Infracommerce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.10 90 days 0.10 
about 1.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Infracommerce CXaaS to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 1.02 (This Infracommerce CXaaS SA probability density function shows the probability of Infracommerce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Infracommerce CXaaS has a beta of 0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Infracommerce CXaaS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Infracommerce CXaaS SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Infracommerce CXaaS SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Infracommerce CXaaS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Infracommerce CXaaS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Infracommerce CXaaS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.107.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.17.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.107.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.110.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Infracommerce CXaaS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Infracommerce CXaaS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Infracommerce CXaaS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Infracommerce CXaaS.

Infracommerce CXaaS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Infracommerce CXaaS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Infracommerce CXaaS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Infracommerce CXaaS SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Infracommerce CXaaS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Infracommerce CXaaS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Infracommerce CXaaS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Infracommerce CXaaS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infracommerce CXaaS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Infracommerce CXaaS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Infracommerce CXaaS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Infracommerce CXaaS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Infracommerce CXaaS SA has accumulated 320.56 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Infracommerce CXaaS has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Infracommerce CXaaS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Infracommerce CXaaS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Infracommerce CXaaS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Infracommerce to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Infracommerce CXaaS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 422.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 205.01 M.
Infracommerce CXaaS SA has accumulated about 89.11 M in cash with (86.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 20.0% of Infracommerce CXaaS shares are held by company insiders

Infracommerce CXaaS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Infracommerce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Infracommerce CXaaS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Infracommerce CXaaS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding296.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments211.5 M

Infracommerce CXaaS Technical Analysis

Infracommerce CXaaS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Infracommerce Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Infracommerce CXaaS SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Infracommerce Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Infracommerce CXaaS Predictive Forecast Models

Infracommerce CXaaS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Infracommerce CXaaS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Infracommerce CXaaS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Infracommerce CXaaS

Checking the ongoing alerts about Infracommerce CXaaS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Infracommerce CXaaS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Infracommerce CXaaS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Infracommerce CXaaS has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Infracommerce CXaaS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Infracommerce CXaaS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Infracommerce CXaaS SA has accumulated 320.56 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.49, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Infracommerce CXaaS has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Infracommerce CXaaS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Infracommerce CXaaS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Infracommerce CXaaS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Infracommerce to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Infracommerce CXaaS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 422.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.07 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 205.01 M.
Infracommerce CXaaS SA has accumulated about 89.11 M in cash with (86.39 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 20.0% of Infracommerce CXaaS shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Infracommerce Stock Analysis

When running Infracommerce CXaaS's price analysis, check to measure Infracommerce CXaaS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Infracommerce CXaaS is operating at the current time. Most of Infracommerce CXaaS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Infracommerce CXaaS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Infracommerce CXaaS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Infracommerce CXaaS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.