International Flavors Fragrances Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 94.12

IFF Stock  USD 87.40  0.70  0.79%   
International Flavors' future price is the expected price of International Flavors instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of International Flavors Fragrances performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out International Flavors Backtesting, International Flavors Valuation, International Flavors Correlation, International Flavors Hype Analysis, International Flavors Volatility, International Flavors History as well as International Flavors Performance.
  
At this time, International Flavors' Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The International Flavors' current Price Cash Flow Ratio is estimated to increase to 15.78, while Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.34. Please specify International Flavors' target price for which you would like International Flavors odds to be computed.

International Flavors Target Price Odds to finish over 94.12

The tendency of International Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 94.12  or more in 90 days
 87.40 90 days 94.12 
about 69.56
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of International Flavors to move over $ 94.12  or more in 90 days from now is about 69.56 (This International Flavors Fragrances probability density function shows the probability of International Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of International Flavors price to stay between its current price of $ 87.40  and $ 94.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon International Flavors Fragrances has a beta of -0.81. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding International Flavors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, International Flavors Fragrances is likely to outperform the market. Additionally International Flavors Fragrances has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   International Flavors Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for International Flavors

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as International Flavors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
85.0186.8788.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.6276.4895.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.5984.4586.31
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
69.2676.1184.48
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as International Flavors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against International Flavors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, International Flavors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in International Flavors.

International Flavors Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. International Flavors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the International Flavors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold International Flavors Fragrances, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of International Flavors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.81
σ
Overall volatility
6.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

International Flavors Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of International Flavors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for International Flavors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
International Flavors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.48 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.56 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.15 B.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Disposition of 643 shares by Teles De Mendonca Ana Paula of International Flavors subject to Rule 16b-3

International Flavors Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of International Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential International Flavors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. International Flavors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding255 M
Cash And Short Term Investments703 M

International Flavors Technical Analysis

International Flavors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. International Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of International Flavors Fragrances. In general, you should focus on analyzing International Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

International Flavors Predictive Forecast Models

International Flavors' time-series forecasting models is one of many International Flavors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary International Flavors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about International Flavors

Checking the ongoing alerts about International Flavors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for International Flavors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
International Flavors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.48 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.56 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.15 B.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from kalkinemedia.com: Disposition of 643 shares by Teles De Mendonca Ana Paula of International Flavors subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether International Flavors is a strong investment it is important to analyze International Flavors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact International Flavors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding International Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of International Flavors. If investors know International will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about International Flavors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.346
Dividend Share
2.01
Earnings Share
(9.11)
Revenue Per Share
44.769
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
The market value of International Flavors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of International Flavors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is International Flavors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because International Flavors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect International Flavors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between International Flavors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if International Flavors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, International Flavors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.