IG Petrochemicals (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 501.99
| IGPL Stock | 528.20 15.25 2.81% |
IGPL |
IG Petrochemicals Target Price Odds to finish over 501.99
The tendency of IGPL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 501.99 in 90 days |
| 528.20 | 90 days | 501.99 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IG Petrochemicals to stay above 501.99 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This IG Petrochemicals Limited probability density function shows the probability of IGPL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of IG Petrochemicals price to stay between 501.99 and its current price of 528.2 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon IG Petrochemicals has a beta of 0.41. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IG Petrochemicals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding IG Petrochemicals Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IG Petrochemicals Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. IG Petrochemicals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for IG Petrochemicals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as IG Petrochemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IG Petrochemicals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IG Petrochemicals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IG Petrochemicals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold IG Petrochemicals Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IG Petrochemicals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
IG Petrochemicals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of IG Petrochemicals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for IG Petrochemicals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| IG Petrochemicals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IG Petrochemicals is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
IG Petrochemicals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of IGPL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential IG Petrochemicals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. IG Petrochemicals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
IG Petrochemicals Technical Analysis
IG Petrochemicals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. IGPL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of IG Petrochemicals Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing IGPL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
IG Petrochemicals Predictive Forecast Models
IG Petrochemicals' time-series forecasting models is one of many IG Petrochemicals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary IG Petrochemicals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about IG Petrochemicals
Checking the ongoing alerts about IG Petrochemicals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for IG Petrochemicals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| IG Petrochemicals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| IG Petrochemicals is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for IGPL Stock Analysis
When running IG Petrochemicals' price analysis, check to measure IG Petrochemicals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy IG Petrochemicals is operating at the current time. Most of IG Petrochemicals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of IG Petrochemicals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move IG Petrochemicals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of IG Petrochemicals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.