Integrity High Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.77

IHFIX Fund  USD 7.57  0.02  0.26%   
Integrity High's future price is the expected price of Integrity High instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Integrity High Income performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Integrity High Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Integrity High Correlation, Integrity High Hype Analysis, Integrity High Volatility, Integrity High History as well as Integrity High Performance.
  
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Integrity High Target Price Odds to finish over 7.77

The tendency of Integrity Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 7.77  or more in 90 days
 7.57 90 days 7.77 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Integrity High to move over $ 7.77  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Integrity High Income probability density function shows the probability of Integrity Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Integrity High Income price to stay between its current price of $ 7.57  and $ 7.77  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Integrity High has a beta of 0.0728. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Integrity High average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Integrity High Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Integrity High Income has an alpha of 0.0119, implying that it can generate a 0.0119 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Integrity High Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Integrity High

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Integrity High Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.417.577.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.806.968.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.427.587.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.487.557.62
Details

Integrity High Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Integrity High is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Integrity High's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Integrity High Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Integrity High within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.44

Integrity High Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Integrity High for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Integrity High Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 95.16% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Integrity High Technical Analysis

Integrity High's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Integrity Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Integrity High Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Integrity Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Integrity High Predictive Forecast Models

Integrity High's time-series forecasting models is one of many Integrity High's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Integrity High's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Integrity High Income

Checking the ongoing alerts about Integrity High for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Integrity High Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 95.16% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Integrity Mutual Fund

Integrity High financial ratios help investors to determine whether Integrity Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Integrity with respect to the benefits of owning Integrity High security.
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