Inveo Yatirim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.85

INVEO Stock  TRY 7.60  0.45  5.59%   
Inveo Yatirim's future price is the expected price of Inveo Yatirim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Inveo Yatirim Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Inveo Yatirim Backtesting, Inveo Yatirim Valuation, Inveo Yatirim Correlation, Inveo Yatirim Hype Analysis, Inveo Yatirim Volatility, Inveo Yatirim History as well as Inveo Yatirim Performance.
  
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Inveo Yatirim Target Price Odds to finish below 7.85

The tendency of Inveo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  7.85  after 90 days
 7.60 90 days 7.85 
about 89.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Inveo Yatirim to stay under  7.85  after 90 days from now is about 89.09 (This Inveo Yatirim Holding probability density function shows the probability of Inveo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Inveo Yatirim Holding price to stay between its current price of  7.60  and  7.85  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.77 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Inveo Yatirim has a beta of 0.43. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Inveo Yatirim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Inveo Yatirim Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Inveo Yatirim Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Inveo Yatirim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Inveo Yatirim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inveo Yatirim Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.338.0510.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.926.649.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.798.5111.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.077.578.07
Details

Inveo Yatirim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Inveo Yatirim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Inveo Yatirim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Inveo Yatirim Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Inveo Yatirim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Inveo Yatirim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Inveo Yatirim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Inveo Yatirim Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inveo Yatirim Holding has accumulated 180.29 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Inveo Yatirim Holding has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Inveo Yatirim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Inveo Yatirim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Inveo Yatirim Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Inveo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Inveo Yatirim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 81.0% of Inveo Yatirim shares are held by company insiders

Inveo Yatirim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Inveo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Inveo Yatirim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Inveo Yatirim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding239.8 M
Short Long Term Debt16.8 M

Inveo Yatirim Technical Analysis

Inveo Yatirim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Inveo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Inveo Yatirim Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Inveo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Inveo Yatirim Predictive Forecast Models

Inveo Yatirim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Inveo Yatirim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Inveo Yatirim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Inveo Yatirim Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Inveo Yatirim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Inveo Yatirim Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Inveo Yatirim Holding has accumulated 180.29 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Inveo Yatirim Holding has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Inveo Yatirim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Inveo Yatirim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Inveo Yatirim Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Inveo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Inveo Yatirim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 81.0% of Inveo Yatirim shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Inveo Stock

Inveo Yatirim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Inveo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Inveo with respect to the benefits of owning Inveo Yatirim security.