Acr International Quality Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 12.23

IQRIX Fund  USD 11.14  0.00  0.00%   
Acr International's future price is the expected price of Acr International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Acr International Quality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Acr International Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Acr International Correlation, Acr International Hype Analysis, Acr International Volatility, Acr International History as well as Acr International Performance.
  
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Acr International Target Price Odds to finish over 12.23

The tendency of Acr Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 12.23  or more in 90 days
 11.14 90 days 12.23 
about 72.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acr International to move over $ 12.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.25 (This Acr International Quality probability density function shows the probability of Acr Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acr International Quality price to stay between its current price of $ 11.14  and $ 12.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Acr International has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Acr International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acr International Quality will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acr International Quality has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Acr International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Acr International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acr International Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0811.1412.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2410.3011.36
Details

Acr International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acr International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acr International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acr International Quality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acr International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Acr International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acr International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acr International Quality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acr International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Acr International Quality retains about 16.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Acr International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acr Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acr International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acr International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Acr International Technical Analysis

Acr International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acr Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acr International Quality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acr Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Acr International Predictive Forecast Models

Acr International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acr International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acr International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Acr International Quality

Checking the ongoing alerts about Acr International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acr International Quality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Acr International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated three year return of -3.0%
Acr International Quality retains about 16.38% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Acr Mutual Fund

Acr International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Acr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Acr with respect to the benefits of owning Acr International security.
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