Jensen (Belgium) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 43.5

JEN Stock  EUR 42.30  0.20  0.47%   
Jensen's future price is the expected price of Jensen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jensen Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jensen Backtesting, Jensen Valuation, Jensen Correlation, Jensen Hype Analysis, Jensen Volatility, Jensen History as well as Jensen Performance.
  
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Jensen Target Price Odds to finish below 43.5

The tendency of Jensen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 43.50  after 90 days
 42.30 90 days 43.50 
about 89.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jensen to stay under € 43.50  after 90 days from now is about 89.85 (This Jensen Group probability density function shows the probability of Jensen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jensen Group price to stay between its current price of € 42.30  and € 43.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jensen has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Jensen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Jensen Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Jensen Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Jensen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jensen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jensen Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.4242.3044.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.6242.5044.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
41.5243.4145.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.9842.5644.15
Details

Jensen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jensen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jensen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jensen Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jensen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Jensen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jensen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jensen Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jensen Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Jensen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jensen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jensen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jensen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments65.6 M

Jensen Technical Analysis

Jensen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jensen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jensen Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jensen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jensen Predictive Forecast Models

Jensen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jensen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jensen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jensen Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jensen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jensen Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jensen Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Jensen Stock Analysis

When running Jensen's price analysis, check to measure Jensen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jensen is operating at the current time. Most of Jensen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jensen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jensen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jensen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.