Lifestyle Ii Aggressive Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 13.81

JIIOX Fund  USD 13.52  0.03  0.22%   
Lifestyle's future price is the expected price of Lifestyle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lifestyle Ii Aggressive performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lifestyle Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lifestyle Correlation, Lifestyle Hype Analysis, Lifestyle Volatility, Lifestyle History as well as Lifestyle Performance.
  
Please specify Lifestyle's target price for which you would like Lifestyle odds to be computed.

Lifestyle Target Price Odds to finish below 13.81

The tendency of Lifestyle Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 13.81  after 90 days
 13.52 90 days 13.81 
about 36.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lifestyle to stay under $ 13.81  after 90 days from now is about 36.89 (This Lifestyle Ii Aggressive probability density function shows the probability of Lifestyle Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lifestyle Ii Aggressive price to stay between its current price of $ 13.52  and $ 13.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.33 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lifestyle has a beta of 0.73. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lifestyle average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lifestyle Ii Aggressive will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lifestyle Ii Aggressive has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lifestyle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lifestyle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifestyle Ii Aggressive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.8613.5214.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9513.6114.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.5713.2313.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5813.9714.36
Details

Lifestyle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lifestyle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lifestyle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lifestyle Ii Aggressive, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lifestyle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Lifestyle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lifestyle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lifestyle Ii Aggressive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifestyle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 95.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Lifestyle Technical Analysis

Lifestyle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lifestyle Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lifestyle Ii Aggressive. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lifestyle Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lifestyle Predictive Forecast Models

Lifestyle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lifestyle's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lifestyle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lifestyle Ii Aggressive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lifestyle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lifestyle Ii Aggressive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lifestyle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund retains 95.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Lifestyle Mutual Fund

Lifestyle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lifestyle Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lifestyle with respect to the benefits of owning Lifestyle security.
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