KBC Ancora (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 42.63
| KB9 Stock | EUR 49.45 1.15 2.38% |
KBC |
KBC Ancora Target Price Odds to finish below 42.63
The tendency of KBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 42.63 or more in 90 days |
| 49.45 | 90 days | 42.63 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KBC Ancora to drop to € 42.63 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This KBC Ancora SCA probability density function shows the probability of KBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KBC Ancora SCA price to stay between € 42.63 and its current price of €49.45 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon KBC Ancora has a beta of 0.22. This indicates as returns on the market go up, KBC Ancora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KBC Ancora SCA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KBC Ancora SCA has an alpha of 0.0495, implying that it can generate a 0.0495 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KBC Ancora Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KBC Ancora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KBC Ancora SCA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KBC Ancora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KBC Ancora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KBC Ancora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KBC Ancora SCA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KBC Ancora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
KBC Ancora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KBC Ancora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KBC Ancora SCA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KBC Ancora SCA has accumulated 375 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 13.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. KBC Ancora SCA has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist KBC Ancora until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, KBC Ancora's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like KBC Ancora SCA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for KBC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about KBC Ancora's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 51.0% of KBC Ancora outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
KBC Ancora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KBC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KBC Ancora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KBC Ancora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.2 M |
KBC Ancora Technical Analysis
KBC Ancora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KBC Ancora SCA. In general, you should focus on analyzing KBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KBC Ancora Predictive Forecast Models
KBC Ancora's time-series forecasting models is one of many KBC Ancora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KBC Ancora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KBC Ancora SCA
Checking the ongoing alerts about KBC Ancora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KBC Ancora SCA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KBC Ancora SCA has accumulated 375 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 13.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. KBC Ancora SCA has a current ratio of 0.52, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist KBC Ancora until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, KBC Ancora's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like KBC Ancora SCA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for KBC to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about KBC Ancora's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 51.0% of KBC Ancora outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in KBC Stock
KBC Ancora financial ratios help investors to determine whether KBC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KBC with respect to the benefits of owning KBC Ancora security.