KEISEI EL (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.23
| KEI Stock | EUR 8.40 0.00 0.00% |
KEISEI |
KEISEI EL Target Price Odds to finish over 17.23
The tendency of KEISEI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 17.23 or more in 90 days |
| 8.40 | 90 days | 17.23 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KEISEI EL to move over € 17.23 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This KEISEI EL RAILWAY probability density function shows the probability of KEISEI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KEISEI EL RAILWAY price to stay between its current price of € 8.40 and € 17.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.7 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KEISEI EL RAILWAY has a beta of -0.0062. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KEISEI EL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KEISEI EL RAILWAY is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KEISEI EL RAILWAY has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. KEISEI EL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for KEISEI EL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KEISEI EL RAILWAY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KEISEI EL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KEISEI EL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KEISEI EL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KEISEI EL RAILWAY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KEISEI EL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0062 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
KEISEI EL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of KEISEI EL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for KEISEI EL RAILWAY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| KEISEI EL RAILWAY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KEISEI EL RAILWAY has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KEISEI EL RAILWAY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 214.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.44 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
KEISEI EL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of KEISEI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential KEISEI EL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KEISEI EL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 170.8 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.9 B | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 59.7 B |
KEISEI EL Technical Analysis
KEISEI EL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KEISEI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KEISEI EL RAILWAY. In general, you should focus on analyzing KEISEI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KEISEI EL Predictive Forecast Models
KEISEI EL's time-series forecasting models is one of many KEISEI EL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KEISEI EL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about KEISEI EL RAILWAY
Checking the ongoing alerts about KEISEI EL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for KEISEI EL RAILWAY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| KEISEI EL RAILWAY generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| KEISEI EL RAILWAY has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| KEISEI EL RAILWAY has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 214.16 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.44 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Tools for KEISEI Stock Analysis
When running KEISEI EL's price analysis, check to measure KEISEI EL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KEISEI EL is operating at the current time. Most of KEISEI EL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KEISEI EL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KEISEI EL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KEISEI EL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.