Kent Gida (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 785.5

KENT Stock  TRY 782.50  3.00  0.38%   
Kent Gida's future price is the expected price of Kent Gida instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kent Gida Maddeleri performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kent Gida Backtesting, Kent Gida Valuation, Kent Gida Correlation, Kent Gida Hype Analysis, Kent Gida Volatility, Kent Gida History as well as Kent Gida Performance.
  
Please specify Kent Gida's target price for which you would like Kent Gida odds to be computed.

Kent Gida Target Price Odds to finish below 785.5

The tendency of Kent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  785.50  after 90 days
 782.50 90 days 785.50 
about 21.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kent Gida to stay under  785.50  after 90 days from now is about 21.08 (This Kent Gida Maddeleri probability density function shows the probability of Kent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kent Gida Maddeleri price to stay between its current price of  782.50  and  785.50  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kent Gida has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kent Gida average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kent Gida Maddeleri will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kent Gida Maddeleri has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Kent Gida Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kent Gida

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kent Gida Maddeleri. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
779.50782.50785.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
688.21691.21860.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
760.30763.30766.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
778.44813.76849.08
Details

Kent Gida Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kent Gida is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kent Gida's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kent Gida Maddeleri, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kent Gida within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
81.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Kent Gida Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kent Gida for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kent Gida Maddeleri can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kent Gida Maddeleri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Kent Gida Technical Analysis

Kent Gida's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kent Gida Maddeleri. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kent Gida Predictive Forecast Models

Kent Gida's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kent Gida's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kent Gida's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kent Gida Maddeleri

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kent Gida for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kent Gida Maddeleri help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kent Gida Maddeleri generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Kent Stock Analysis

When running Kent Gida's price analysis, check to measure Kent Gida's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kent Gida is operating at the current time. Most of Kent Gida's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kent Gida's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kent Gida's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kent Gida to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.