Federated Kaufmann Large Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 24.52

KLCAX Fund  USD 17.08  6.96  28.95%   
Federated Kaufmann's future price is the expected price of Federated Kaufmann instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Federated Kaufmann Large performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Federated Kaufmann Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Federated Kaufmann Correlation, Federated Kaufmann Hype Analysis, Federated Kaufmann Volatility, Federated Kaufmann History as well as Federated Kaufmann Performance.
  
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Federated Kaufmann Target Price Odds to finish over 24.52

The tendency of Federated Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 24.52  or more in 90 days
 17.08 90 days 24.52 
about 1.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Federated Kaufmann to move over $ 24.52  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.25 (This Federated Kaufmann Large probability density function shows the probability of Federated Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Federated Kaufmann Large price to stay between its current price of $ 17.08  and $ 24.52  at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Federated Kaufmann will likely underperform. Additionally Federated Kaufmann Large has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Federated Kaufmann Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Federated Kaufmann

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Federated Kaufmann Large. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.3617.0820.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2317.9521.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.4223.1426.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.9722.9026.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Federated Kaufmann. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Federated Kaufmann's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Federated Kaufmann's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Federated Kaufmann Large.

Federated Kaufmann Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Federated Kaufmann is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Federated Kaufmann's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Federated Kaufmann Large, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Federated Kaufmann within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.28
σ
Overall volatility
1.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Federated Kaufmann Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Federated Kaufmann for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Federated Kaufmann Large can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federated Kaufmann generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federated Kaufmann has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The fund maintains 97.69% of its assets in stocks

Federated Kaufmann Technical Analysis

Federated Kaufmann's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Federated Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Federated Kaufmann Large. In general, you should focus on analyzing Federated Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Federated Kaufmann Predictive Forecast Models

Federated Kaufmann's time-series forecasting models is one of many Federated Kaufmann's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Federated Kaufmann's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Federated Kaufmann Large

Checking the ongoing alerts about Federated Kaufmann for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Federated Kaufmann Large help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Federated Kaufmann generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Federated Kaufmann has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The fund maintains 97.69% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Federated Mutual Fund

Federated Kaufmann financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federated Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federated with respect to the benefits of owning Federated Kaufmann security.
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