Kinea Rendimentos (Brazil) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 80.40
| KNCR11 Fund | BRL 103.09 0.50 0.49% |
Kinea |
Kinea Rendimentos Target Price Odds to finish below 80.40
The tendency of Kinea Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to R$ 80.40 or more in 90 days |
| 103.09 | 90 days | 80.40 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kinea Rendimentos to drop to R$ 80.40 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kinea Rendimentos Imobilirios probability density function shows the probability of Kinea Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kinea Rendimentos price to stay between R$ 80.40 and its current price of R$103.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kinea Rendimentos Imobilirios has a beta of -0.0741. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kinea Rendimentos are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kinea Rendimentos Imobilirios is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kinea Rendimentos Imobilirios has an alpha of 0.002, implying that it can generate a 0.00203 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kinea Rendimentos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kinea Rendimentos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kinea Rendimentos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kinea Rendimentos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kinea Rendimentos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kinea Rendimentos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kinea Rendimentos Imobilirios, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kinea Rendimentos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Kinea Rendimentos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kinea Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kinea Rendimentos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kinea Rendimentos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 54.52k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 44.8k |
Kinea Rendimentos Technical Analysis
Kinea Rendimentos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kinea Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kinea Rendimentos Imobilirios. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kinea Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kinea Rendimentos Predictive Forecast Models
Kinea Rendimentos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kinea Rendimentos' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kinea Rendimentos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Kinea Rendimentos in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Kinea Rendimentos' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Kinea Rendimentos options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Kinea Fund
Kinea Rendimentos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinea with respect to the benefits of owning Kinea Rendimentos security.
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