KSM Mutual (Israel) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 54,884

KSM-F111  ILA 60,550  270.00  0.44%   
KSM Mutual's future price is the expected price of KSM Mutual instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of KSM Mutual Funds performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out KSM Mutual Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, KSM Mutual Correlation, KSM Mutual Hype Analysis, KSM Mutual Volatility, KSM Mutual History as well as KSM Mutual Performance.
  
Please specify KSM Mutual's target price for which you would like KSM Mutual odds to be computed.

KSM Mutual Target Price Odds to finish below 54,884

The tendency of KSM Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 60,550 90 days 60,550 
about 86.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KSM Mutual to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 86.9 (This KSM Mutual Funds probability density function shows the probability of KSM Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KSM Mutual Funds has a beta of -0.31. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding KSM Mutual are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, KSM Mutual Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally KSM Mutual Funds has an alpha of 0.5379, implying that it can generate a 0.54 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   KSM Mutual Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for KSM Mutual

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KSM Mutual Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
60,54860,55060,552
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59,10459,10666,605
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59,84159,84359,845
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59,99160,88261,773
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KSM Mutual. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KSM Mutual's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KSM Mutual's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KSM Mutual Funds.

KSM Mutual Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KSM Mutual is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KSM Mutual's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KSM Mutual Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KSM Mutual within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
4,661
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

KSM Mutual Technical Analysis

KSM Mutual's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KSM Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KSM Mutual Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing KSM Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

KSM Mutual Predictive Forecast Models

KSM Mutual's time-series forecasting models is one of many KSM Mutual's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KSM Mutual's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KSM Mutual in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KSM Mutual's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KSM Mutual options trading.

Other Information on Investing in KSM Etf

KSM Mutual financial ratios help investors to determine whether KSM Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KSM with respect to the benefits of owning KSM Mutual security.