Link Real (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.69

L5R Stock  EUR 4.14  0.01  0.24%   
Link Real's future price is the expected price of Link Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Link Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Link Real Backtesting, Link Real Valuation, Link Real Correlation, Link Real Hype Analysis, Link Real Volatility, Link Real History as well as Link Real Performance.
  
Please specify Link Real's target price for which you would like Link Real odds to be computed.

Link Real Target Price Odds to finish below 3.69

The tendency of Link Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 3.69  or more in 90 days
 4.14 90 days 3.69 
about 87.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Link Real to drop to € 3.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 87.77 (This Link Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Link Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Link Real Estate price to stay between € 3.69  and its current price of €4.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Link Real has a beta of 0.52. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Link Real average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Link Real Estate will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Link Real Estate has an alpha of 0.5867, implying that it can generate a 0.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Link Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Link Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Link Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.214.149.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.428.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.084.039.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.633.934.24
Details

Link Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Link Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Link Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Link Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Link Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.52
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Link Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Link Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Link Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Link Real Estate is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Link Real Estate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Link Real Estate has accumulated 49.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 14.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Link Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Link Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Link Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Link Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Link to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Link Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Link Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Link Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Link Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Link Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B
Dividend Yield0.4917
Short Term Investments170 M
Short Long Term Debt5.7 B

Link Real Technical Analysis

Link Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Link Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Link Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Link Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Link Real Predictive Forecast Models

Link Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Link Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Link Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Link Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Link Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Link Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Link Real Estate is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Link Real Estate appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Link Real Estate has accumulated 49.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 14.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Link Real Estate has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Link Real until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Link Real's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Link Real Estate sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Link to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Link Real's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Link Stock

Link Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Link Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Link with respect to the benefits of owning Link Real security.