Logindo Samudramakmur (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 94.80
| LEAD Stock | IDR 114.00 1.00 0.87% |
Logindo |
Logindo Samudramakmur Target Price Odds to finish below 94.80
The tendency of Logindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 94.80 or more in 90 days |
| 114.00 | 90 days | 94.80 | nearly 4.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Logindo Samudramakmur to drop to 94.80 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.07 (This Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Logindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk price to stay between 94.80 and its current price of 114.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.43 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Logindo Samudramakmur has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Logindo Samudramakmur average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk has an alpha of 0.3968, implying that it can generate a 0.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Logindo Samudramakmur Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Logindo Samudramakmur
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Logindo Samudramakmur Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Logindo Samudramakmur is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Logindo Samudramakmur's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Logindo Samudramakmur within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Logindo Samudramakmur Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Logindo Samudramakmur for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Logindo Samudramakmur had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 28.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Logindo Samudramakmur Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Logindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Logindo Samudramakmur's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Logindo Samudramakmur's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.6 M |
Logindo Samudramakmur Technical Analysis
Logindo Samudramakmur's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Logindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Logindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Logindo Samudramakmur Predictive Forecast Models
Logindo Samudramakmur's time-series forecasting models is one of many Logindo Samudramakmur's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Logindo Samudramakmur's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Logindo Samudramakmur for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Logindo Samudramakmur Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Logindo Samudramakmur had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 28.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5 M. | |
| About 55.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Logindo Stock
Logindo Samudramakmur financial ratios help investors to determine whether Logindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Logindo with respect to the benefits of owning Logindo Samudramakmur security.