LeadDesk Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.6
| LEADD Stock | EUR 6.18 0.04 0.65% |
LeadDesk |
LeadDesk Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 5.6
The tendency of LeadDesk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 5.60 or more in 90 days |
| 6.18 | 90 days | 5.60 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LeadDesk Oyj to drop to € 5.60 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This LeadDesk Oyj probability density function shows the probability of LeadDesk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of LeadDesk Oyj price to stay between € 5.60 and its current price of €6.18 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LeadDesk Oyj has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LeadDesk Oyj average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LeadDesk Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LeadDesk Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. LeadDesk Oyj Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for LeadDesk Oyj
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LeadDesk Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LeadDesk Oyj's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LeadDesk Oyj Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LeadDesk Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LeadDesk Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LeadDesk Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LeadDesk Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
LeadDesk Oyj Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LeadDesk Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LeadDesk Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| LeadDesk Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LeadDesk Oyj has accumulated 5.19 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LeadDesk Oyj has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LeadDesk Oyj until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LeadDesk Oyj's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LeadDesk Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LeadDesk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LeadDesk Oyj's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
LeadDesk Oyj Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LeadDesk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LeadDesk Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LeadDesk Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 1.9k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 8.58k |
LeadDesk Oyj Technical Analysis
LeadDesk Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LeadDesk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LeadDesk Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing LeadDesk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
LeadDesk Oyj Predictive Forecast Models
LeadDesk Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many LeadDesk Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LeadDesk Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about LeadDesk Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about LeadDesk Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LeadDesk Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| LeadDesk Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| LeadDesk Oyj has accumulated 5.19 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LeadDesk Oyj has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist LeadDesk Oyj until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, LeadDesk Oyj's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like LeadDesk Oyj sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for LeadDesk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about LeadDesk Oyj's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in LeadDesk Stock
LeadDesk Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether LeadDesk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LeadDesk with respect to the benefits of owning LeadDesk Oyj security.