Lem Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1392.0

LEHN Stock  CHF 739.00  13.00  1.79%   
Lem Holding's future price is the expected price of Lem Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lem Holding SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lem Holding Backtesting, Lem Holding Valuation, Lem Holding Correlation, Lem Holding Hype Analysis, Lem Holding Volatility, Lem Holding History as well as Lem Holding Performance.
  
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Lem Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 1392.0

The tendency of Lem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under ₣ 1,392  after 90 days
 739.00 90 days 1,392 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lem Holding to stay under ₣ 1,392  after 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Lem Holding SA probability density function shows the probability of Lem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lem Holding SA price to stay between its current price of ₣ 739.00  and ₣ 1,392  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lem Holding SA has a beta of -0.16. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lem Holding are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lem Holding SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lem Holding SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lem Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lem Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lem Holding SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
735.57739.00742.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
706.01709.44812.90
Details

Lem Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lem Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lem Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lem Holding SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lem Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
240.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Lem Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lem Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lem Holding SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lem Holding SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lem Holding SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lem Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lem Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lem Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments17.2 M

Lem Holding Technical Analysis

Lem Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lem Holding SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lem Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Lem Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lem Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lem Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lem Holding SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lem Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lem Holding SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lem Holding SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lem Holding SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Lem Stock Analysis

When running Lem Holding's price analysis, check to measure Lem Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lem Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Lem Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lem Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lem Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lem Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.