Lokman Hekim (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.35

LKMNH Stock  TRY 16.90  0.02  0.12%   
Lokman Hekim's future price is the expected price of Lokman Hekim instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lokman Hekim Engurusag performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lokman Hekim Backtesting, Lokman Hekim Valuation, Lokman Hekim Correlation, Lokman Hekim Hype Analysis, Lokman Hekim Volatility, Lokman Hekim History as well as Lokman Hekim Performance.
  
Please specify Lokman Hekim's target price for which you would like Lokman Hekim odds to be computed.

Lokman Hekim Target Price Odds to finish below 14.35

The tendency of Lokman Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  14.35  or more in 90 days
 16.90 90 days 14.35 
about 1.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lokman Hekim to drop to  14.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.46 (This Lokman Hekim Engurusag probability density function shows the probability of Lokman Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lokman Hekim Engurusag price to stay between  14.35  and its current price of 16.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 61.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lokman Hekim has a beta of 0.32. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lokman Hekim average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lokman Hekim Engurusag will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lokman Hekim Engurusag has an alpha of 0.0245, implying that it can generate a 0.0245 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lokman Hekim Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lokman Hekim

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lokman Hekim Engurusag. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7116.9019.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2316.4218.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.3117.5019.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7117.3718.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lokman Hekim. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lokman Hekim's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lokman Hekim's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lokman Hekim Engurusag.

Lokman Hekim Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lokman Hekim is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lokman Hekim's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lokman Hekim Engurusag, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lokman Hekim within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio 0

Lokman Hekim Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lokman Hekim for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lokman Hekim Engurusag can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lokman Hekim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Lokman Hekim Engurusag has accumulated 148.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 170.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lokman Hekim Engurusag has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lokman Hekim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lokman Hekim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lokman Hekim Engurusag sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lokman to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lokman Hekim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Lokman Hekim Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lokman Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lokman Hekim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lokman Hekim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividends Paid10.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.39
Shares Float32 M

Lokman Hekim Technical Analysis

Lokman Hekim's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lokman Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lokman Hekim Engurusag. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lokman Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lokman Hekim Predictive Forecast Models

Lokman Hekim's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lokman Hekim's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lokman Hekim's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lokman Hekim Engurusag

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lokman Hekim for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lokman Hekim Engurusag help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lokman Hekim has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Lokman Hekim Engurusag has accumulated 148.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 170.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lokman Hekim Engurusag has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lokman Hekim until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lokman Hekim's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lokman Hekim Engurusag sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lokman to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lokman Hekim's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Lokman Stock

Lokman Hekim financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lokman Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lokman with respect to the benefits of owning Lokman Hekim security.