Lundin Energy Ab Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.6

LNDNF Stock  USD 0.60  0.00  0.00%   
Lundin Energy's future price is the expected price of Lundin Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lundin Energy AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lundin Energy Backtesting, Lundin Energy Valuation, Lundin Energy Correlation, Lundin Energy Hype Analysis, Lundin Energy Volatility, Lundin Energy History as well as Lundin Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Lundin Energy's target price for which you would like Lundin Energy odds to be computed.

Lundin Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.6

The tendency of Lundin Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.60 90 days 0.60 
about 5.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lundin Energy to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 5.11 (This Lundin Energy AB probability density function shows the probability of Lundin Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lundin Energy AB has a beta of -0.26. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lundin Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lundin Energy AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lundin Energy AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lundin Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lundin Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lundin Energy AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.602.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.532.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.642.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.590.610.63
Details

Lundin Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lundin Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lundin Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lundin Energy AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lundin Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Lundin Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lundin Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lundin Energy AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lundin Energy AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lundin Energy AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lundin Energy AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Clearway Energy Up 4 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

Lundin Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lundin Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lundin Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lundin Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding284.6 M

Lundin Energy Technical Analysis

Lundin Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lundin Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lundin Energy AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lundin Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lundin Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Lundin Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lundin Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lundin Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lundin Energy AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lundin Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lundin Energy AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lundin Energy AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lundin Energy AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Lundin Energy AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Clearway Energy Up 4 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Continue

Other Information on Investing in Lundin Pink Sheet

Lundin Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lundin Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lundin with respect to the benefits of owning Lundin Energy security.