Loxley Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.44
| LOXLEY Stock | THB 1.40 0.01 0.72% |
Loxley |
Loxley Public Target Price Odds to finish over 1.44
The tendency of Loxley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 1.44 or more in 90 days |
| 1.40 | 90 days | 1.44 | about 11.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Loxley Public to move over 1.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.69 (This Loxley Public probability density function shows the probability of Loxley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Loxley Public price to stay between its current price of 1.40 and 1.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Loxley Public has a beta of -0.13. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Loxley Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Loxley Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Loxley Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Loxley Public Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Loxley Public
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Loxley Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Loxley Public's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Loxley Public Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Loxley Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Loxley Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Loxley Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Loxley Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Loxley Public Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Loxley Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Loxley Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Loxley Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Loxley Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Loxley Public has accumulated 251.34 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Loxley Public has accumulated about 1.29 B in cash with (647.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Loxley Public Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Loxley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Loxley Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Loxley Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B |
Loxley Public Technical Analysis
Loxley Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Loxley Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Loxley Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Loxley Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Loxley Public Predictive Forecast Models
Loxley Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Loxley Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Loxley Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Loxley Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about Loxley Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Loxley Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Loxley Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Loxley Public may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Loxley Public has accumulated 251.34 Million in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| Loxley Public has accumulated about 1.29 B in cash with (647.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.57. | |
| Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Loxley Stock
Loxley Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Loxley Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Loxley with respect to the benefits of owning Loxley Public security.