Lippo Cikarang (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 578.85

LPCK Stock  IDR 550.00  15.00  2.65%   
Lippo Cikarang's future price is the expected price of Lippo Cikarang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lippo Cikarang Tbk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lippo Cikarang Backtesting, Lippo Cikarang Valuation, Lippo Cikarang Correlation, Lippo Cikarang Hype Analysis, Lippo Cikarang Volatility, Lippo Cikarang History as well as Lippo Cikarang Performance.
  
Please specify Lippo Cikarang's target price for which you would like Lippo Cikarang odds to be computed.

Lippo Cikarang Target Price Odds to finish over 578.85

The tendency of Lippo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  578.85  or more in 90 days
 550.00 90 days 578.85 
over 95.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lippo Cikarang to move over  578.85  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.03 (This Lippo Cikarang Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Lippo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lippo Cikarang Tbk price to stay between its current price of  550.00  and  578.85  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lippo Cikarang Tbk has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lippo Cikarang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lippo Cikarang Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lippo Cikarang Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lippo Cikarang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lippo Cikarang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lippo Cikarang Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
547.07550.00552.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
521.02523.95605.00
Details

Lippo Cikarang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lippo Cikarang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lippo Cikarang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lippo Cikarang Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lippo Cikarang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
83.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Lippo Cikarang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lippo Cikarang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lippo Cikarang Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lippo Cikarang Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lippo Cikarang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lippo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lippo Cikarang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lippo Cikarang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments508.3 B

Lippo Cikarang Technical Analysis

Lippo Cikarang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lippo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lippo Cikarang Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lippo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lippo Cikarang Predictive Forecast Models

Lippo Cikarang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lippo Cikarang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lippo Cikarang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lippo Cikarang Tbk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lippo Cikarang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lippo Cikarang Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lippo Cikarang Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lippo Stock

Lippo Cikarang financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lippo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lippo with respect to the benefits of owning Lippo Cikarang security.