Victory Integrity Smallmid Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 16.31
| MAISX Fund | USD 21.38 0.07 0.33% |
Victory |
Victory Integrity Target Price Odds to finish below 16.31
The tendency of Victory Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 16.31 or more in 90 days |
| 21.38 | 90 days | 16.31 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Victory Integrity to drop to $ 16.31 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Victory Integrity Smallmid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Victory Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Victory Integrity price to stay between $ 16.31 and its current price of $21.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Victory Integrity will likely underperform. Additionally Victory Integrity Smallmid Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Victory Integrity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Victory Integrity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Victory Integrity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Victory Integrity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Victory Integrity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Victory Integrity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Victory Integrity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Victory Integrity Smallmid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Victory Integrity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Victory Integrity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Victory Integrity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Victory Integrity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Victory Integrity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 99.1% of its assets in stocks |
Victory Integrity Technical Analysis
Victory Integrity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Victory Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Victory Integrity Smallmid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Victory Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Victory Integrity Predictive Forecast Models
Victory Integrity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Victory Integrity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Victory Integrity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Victory Integrity
Checking the ongoing alerts about Victory Integrity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Victory Integrity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Victory Integrity generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains 99.1% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Victory Mutual Fund
Victory Integrity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Victory Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Victory with respect to the benefits of owning Victory Integrity security.
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk |