Manaksia Coated (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 90.24

MANAKCOAT   103.88  1.58  1.54%   
Manaksia Coated's future price is the expected price of Manaksia Coated instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Manaksia Coated Metals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Manaksia Coated Backtesting, Manaksia Coated Valuation, Manaksia Coated Correlation, Manaksia Coated Hype Analysis, Manaksia Coated Volatility, Manaksia Coated History as well as Manaksia Coated Performance.
  
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Manaksia Coated Target Price Odds to finish below 90.24

The tendency of Manaksia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  90.24  or more in 90 days
 103.88 90 days 90.24 
about 86.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Manaksia Coated to drop to  90.24  or more in 90 days from now is about 86.38 (This Manaksia Coated Metals probability density function shows the probability of Manaksia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Manaksia Coated Metals price to stay between  90.24  and its current price of 103.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Manaksia Coated Metals has a beta of -0.23. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Manaksia Coated are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Manaksia Coated Metals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Manaksia Coated Metals has an alpha of 0.7685, implying that it can generate a 0.77 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Manaksia Coated Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Manaksia Coated

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Manaksia Coated Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.82101.94105.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.6188.73114.27
Details

Manaksia Coated Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Manaksia Coated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Manaksia Coated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Manaksia Coated Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Manaksia Coated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.23
σ
Overall volatility
15.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Manaksia Coated Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Manaksia Coated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Manaksia Coated Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Manaksia Coated appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Manaksia Coated is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Manaksia Coated Metals Industries Ltd Reaches All-Time High, Outperforms Sector and Sensex - MarketsMojo

Manaksia Coated Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Manaksia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Manaksia Coated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Manaksia Coated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding67.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments220.2 M

Manaksia Coated Technical Analysis

Manaksia Coated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Manaksia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Manaksia Coated Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Manaksia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Manaksia Coated Predictive Forecast Models

Manaksia Coated's time-series forecasting models is one of many Manaksia Coated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Manaksia Coated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Manaksia Coated Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Manaksia Coated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Manaksia Coated Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Manaksia Coated appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Manaksia Coated is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Manaksia Coated Metals Industries Ltd Reaches All-Time High, Outperforms Sector and Sensex - MarketsMojo

Other Information on Investing in Manaksia Stock

Manaksia Coated financial ratios help investors to determine whether Manaksia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Manaksia with respect to the benefits of owning Manaksia Coated security.