MBG Group (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3000.0
| MBG Stock | 3,400 100.00 2.86% |
MBG |
MBG Group Target Price Odds to finish over 3000.0
The tendency of MBG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3,000 in 90 days |
| 3,400 | 90 days | 3,000 | about 83.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MBG Group to stay above 3,000 in 90 days from now is about 83.26 (This MBG Group JSC probability density function shows the probability of MBG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MBG Group JSC price to stay between 3,000 and its current price of 3400.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MBG Group has a beta of 0.12. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MBG Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MBG Group JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MBG Group JSC has an alpha of 0.0307, implying that it can generate a 0.0307 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MBG Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MBG Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MBG Group JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MBG Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MBG Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MBG Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MBG Group JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MBG Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 131.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
MBG Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MBG Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MBG Group JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MBG Group JSC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
MBG Group Technical Analysis
MBG Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MBG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MBG Group JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing MBG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MBG Group Predictive Forecast Models
MBG Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many MBG Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MBG Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about MBG Group JSC
Checking the ongoing alerts about MBG Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MBG Group JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| MBG Group JSC had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in MBG Stock
MBG Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether MBG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MBG with respect to the benefits of owning MBG Group security.