Marimekko Oyj (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.49

MEKKO Stock  EUR 12.04  0.02  0.17%   
Marimekko Oyj's future price is the expected price of Marimekko Oyj instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Marimekko Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Marimekko Oyj Backtesting, Marimekko Oyj Valuation, Marimekko Oyj Correlation, Marimekko Oyj Hype Analysis, Marimekko Oyj Volatility, Marimekko Oyj History as well as Marimekko Oyj Performance.
  
Please specify Marimekko Oyj's target price for which you would like Marimekko Oyj odds to be computed.

Marimekko Oyj Target Price Odds to finish below 8.49

The tendency of Marimekko Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 8.49  or more in 90 days
 12.04 90 days 8.49 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Marimekko Oyj to drop to € 8.49  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Marimekko Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Marimekko Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Marimekko Oyj price to stay between € 8.49  and its current price of €12.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.53 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Marimekko Oyj has a beta of -0.54. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Marimekko Oyj are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Marimekko Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Marimekko Oyj has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Marimekko Oyj Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marimekko Oyj

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Marimekko Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.0212.0414.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.2010.2212.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0412.0514.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.9711.8712.77
Details

Marimekko Oyj Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Marimekko Oyj is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Marimekko Oyj's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Marimekko Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Marimekko Oyj within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Marimekko Oyj Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Marimekko Oyj for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Marimekko Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Marimekko Oyj Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Marimekko Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Marimekko Oyj's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marimekko Oyj's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.1 M

Marimekko Oyj Technical Analysis

Marimekko Oyj's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Marimekko Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Marimekko Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Marimekko Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Marimekko Oyj Predictive Forecast Models

Marimekko Oyj's time-series forecasting models is one of many Marimekko Oyj's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Marimekko Oyj's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Marimekko Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about Marimekko Oyj for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Marimekko Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Marimekko Stock

Marimekko Oyj financial ratios help investors to determine whether Marimekko Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Marimekko with respect to the benefits of owning Marimekko Oyj security.