Meier Tobler (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.11
| MTG Stock | CHF 29.00 0.20 0.68% |
Meier |
Meier Tobler Target Price Odds to finish below 27.11
The tendency of Meier Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 27.11 or more in 90 days |
| 29.00 | 90 days | 27.11 | about 48.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meier Tobler to drop to ₣ 27.11 or more in 90 days from now is about 48.79 (This Meier Tobler Group probability density function shows the probability of Meier Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meier Tobler Group price to stay between ₣ 27.11 and its current price of ₣29.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meier Tobler Group has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meier Tobler are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meier Tobler Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meier Tobler Group has an alpha of 0.2887, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Meier Tobler Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Meier Tobler
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meier Tobler Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Meier Tobler Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meier Tobler is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meier Tobler's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meier Tobler Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meier Tobler within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Meier Tobler Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meier Tobler for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meier Tobler Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Meier Tobler Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Meier Tobler Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meier Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meier Tobler's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meier Tobler's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.7 M |
Meier Tobler Technical Analysis
Meier Tobler's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meier Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meier Tobler Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meier Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Meier Tobler Predictive Forecast Models
Meier Tobler's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meier Tobler's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meier Tobler's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Meier Tobler Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Meier Tobler for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meier Tobler Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Meier Tobler Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Meier Stock Analysis
When running Meier Tobler's price analysis, check to measure Meier Tobler's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meier Tobler is operating at the current time. Most of Meier Tobler's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meier Tobler's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meier Tobler's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meier Tobler to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.