M3 Inc Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 4.34

MTHRY Stock  USD 4.72  0.09  1.87%   
M3's future price is the expected price of M3 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of M3 Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out M3 Backtesting, M3 Valuation, M3 Correlation, M3 Hype Analysis, M3 Volatility, M3 History as well as M3 Performance.
  
Please specify M3's target price for which you would like M3 odds to be computed.

M3 Target Price Odds to finish below 4.34

The tendency of M3 Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 4.34  or more in 90 days
 4.72 90 days 4.34 
about 7.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of M3 to drop to $ 4.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.9 (This M3 Inc probability density function shows the probability of M3 Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of M3 Inc price to stay between $ 4.34  and its current price of $4.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.39 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon M3 has a beta of 0.19. This indicates as returns on the market go up, M3 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding M3 Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally M3 Inc has an alpha of 0.0095, implying that it can generate a 0.009509 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   M3 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for M3

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as M3 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.364.728.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.724.087.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.234.597.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.514.775.03
Details

M3 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. M3 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the M3's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold M3 Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of M3 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

M3 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of M3 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for M3 Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
M3 Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from zacks.com: Are You a Value Investor This 1 Stock Could Be the Perfect Pick

M3 Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of M3 Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential M3's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. M3's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding678.9 M

M3 Technical Analysis

M3's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. M3 Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of M3 Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing M3 Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

M3 Predictive Forecast Models

M3's time-series forecasting models is one of many M3's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary M3's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about M3 Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about M3 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for M3 Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
M3 Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Latest headline from zacks.com: Are You a Value Investor This 1 Stock Could Be the Perfect Pick

Additional Tools for M3 Pink Sheet Analysis

When running M3's price analysis, check to measure M3's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy M3 is operating at the current time. Most of M3's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of M3's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move M3's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of M3 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.