Muenchener Rueckver Ges Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 10.61

MURGY Stock  USD 10.92  0.11  1.02%   
Muenchener Rueckver's future price is the expected price of Muenchener Rueckver instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Muenchener Rueckver Ges performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Muenchener Rueckver Backtesting, Muenchener Rueckver Valuation, Muenchener Rueckver Correlation, Muenchener Rueckver Hype Analysis, Muenchener Rueckver Volatility, Muenchener Rueckver History as well as Muenchener Rueckver Performance.
  
Please specify Muenchener Rueckver's target price for which you would like Muenchener Rueckver odds to be computed.

Muenchener Rueckver Target Price Odds to finish over 10.61

The tendency of Muenchener Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 10.61  in 90 days
 10.92 90 days 10.61 
about 38.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Muenchener Rueckver to stay above $ 10.61  in 90 days from now is about 38.0 (This Muenchener Rueckver Ges probability density function shows the probability of Muenchener Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Muenchener Rueckver Ges price to stay between $ 10.61  and its current price of $10.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.83 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Muenchener Rueckver has a beta of 0.26. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Muenchener Rueckver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Muenchener Rueckver Ges will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Muenchener Rueckver Ges has an alpha of 0.0071, implying that it can generate a 0.007113 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Muenchener Rueckver Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Muenchener Rueckver

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Muenchener Rueckver Ges. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.3210.8312.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1810.6912.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Muenchener Rueckver. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Muenchener Rueckver's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Muenchener Rueckver's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Muenchener Rueckver Ges.

Muenchener Rueckver Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Muenchener Rueckver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Muenchener Rueckver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Muenchener Rueckver Ges, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Muenchener Rueckver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Muenchener Rueckver Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Muenchener Rueckver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Muenchener Rueckver Ges can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Muenchener Rueckver Ges has accumulated 6.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Muenchener Rueckver Ges has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Muenchener Rueckver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Muenchener Rueckver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Muenchener Rueckver Ges sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Muenchener to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Muenchener Rueckver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Maiden Holdings, Ltd. Announces Sale of Maiden General Frskrings and Maiden Life Frskrings

Muenchener Rueckver Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Muenchener Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Muenchener Rueckver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Muenchener Rueckver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments171.2 B

Muenchener Rueckver Technical Analysis

Muenchener Rueckver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Muenchener Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Muenchener Rueckver Ges. In general, you should focus on analyzing Muenchener Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Muenchener Rueckver Predictive Forecast Models

Muenchener Rueckver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Muenchener Rueckver's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Muenchener Rueckver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Muenchener Rueckver Ges

Checking the ongoing alerts about Muenchener Rueckver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Muenchener Rueckver Ges help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Muenchener Rueckver Ges has accumulated 6.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Muenchener Rueckver Ges has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Muenchener Rueckver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Muenchener Rueckver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Muenchener Rueckver Ges sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Muenchener to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Muenchener Rueckver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Maiden Holdings, Ltd. Announces Sale of Maiden General Frskrings and Maiden Life Frskrings

Additional Tools for Muenchener Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Muenchener Rueckver's price analysis, check to measure Muenchener Rueckver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Muenchener Rueckver is operating at the current time. Most of Muenchener Rueckver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Muenchener Rueckver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Muenchener Rueckver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Muenchener Rueckver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.