Muenchener Rueckver Ges Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 5.73
| MURGY Stock | USD 10.38 0.02 0.19% |
Muenchener |
Muenchener Rueckver Target Price Odds to finish below 5.73
The tendency of Muenchener Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 5.73 or more in 90 days |
| 10.38 | 90 days | 5.73 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Muenchener Rueckver to drop to $ 5.73 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Muenchener Rueckver Ges probability density function shows the probability of Muenchener Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Muenchener Rueckver Ges price to stay between $ 5.73 and its current price of $10.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.79 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Muenchener Rueckver has a beta of 0.37. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Muenchener Rueckver average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Muenchener Rueckver Ges will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Muenchener Rueckver Ges has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Muenchener Rueckver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Muenchener Rueckver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Muenchener Rueckver Ges. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Muenchener Rueckver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Muenchener Rueckver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Muenchener Rueckver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Muenchener Rueckver Ges, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Muenchener Rueckver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Muenchener Rueckver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Muenchener Rueckver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Muenchener Rueckver Ges can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Muenchener Rueckver generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Muenchener Rueckver Ges has accumulated 6.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Muenchener Rueckver Ges has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Muenchener Rueckver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Muenchener Rueckver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Muenchener Rueckver Ges sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Muenchener to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Muenchener Rueckver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Muenchener Rueckver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Muenchener Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Muenchener Rueckver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Muenchener Rueckver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.2 B |
Muenchener Rueckver Technical Analysis
Muenchener Rueckver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Muenchener Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Muenchener Rueckver Ges. In general, you should focus on analyzing Muenchener Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Muenchener Rueckver Predictive Forecast Models
Muenchener Rueckver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Muenchener Rueckver's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Muenchener Rueckver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Muenchener Rueckver Ges
Checking the ongoing alerts about Muenchener Rueckver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Muenchener Rueckver Ges help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Muenchener Rueckver generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Muenchener Rueckver Ges has accumulated 6.36 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Muenchener Rueckver Ges has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Muenchener Rueckver until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Muenchener Rueckver's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Muenchener Rueckver Ges sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Muenchener to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Muenchener Rueckver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for Muenchener Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Muenchener Rueckver's price analysis, check to measure Muenchener Rueckver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Muenchener Rueckver is operating at the current time. Most of Muenchener Rueckver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Muenchener Rueckver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Muenchener Rueckver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Muenchener Rueckver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.