NC Housing (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.01
| NCH Stock | THB 0.72 0.01 1.41% |
NCH |
NC Housing Target Price Odds to finish below 1.01
The tendency of NCH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.01 after 90 days |
| 0.72 | 90 days | 1.01 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NC Housing to stay under 1.01 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This NC Housing Public probability density function shows the probability of NCH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NC Housing Public price to stay between its current price of 0.72 and 1.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NC Housing has a beta of 0.0324. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NC Housing average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NC Housing Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NC Housing Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NC Housing Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NC Housing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NC Housing Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NC Housing Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NC Housing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NC Housing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NC Housing Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NC Housing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
NC Housing Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NC Housing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NC Housing Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NC Housing Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NC Housing Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| NC Housing Public has accumulated about 119.01 M in cash with (12.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
NC Housing Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NCH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NC Housing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NC Housing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
NC Housing Technical Analysis
NC Housing's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NCH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NC Housing Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing NCH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NC Housing Predictive Forecast Models
NC Housing's time-series forecasting models is one of many NC Housing's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NC Housing's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NC Housing Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about NC Housing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NC Housing Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NC Housing Public generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NC Housing Public has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| NC Housing Public has accumulated about 119.01 M in cash with (12.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in NCH Stock
NC Housing financial ratios help investors to determine whether NCH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NCH with respect to the benefits of owning NC Housing security.